Ibope poll: Dilma has 40%, Marina 24%, and Aécio 19%.

Here are the numbers from the new Ibope poll: President Dilma Rousseff, of the PT party, has 40%, compared to 24% for the socialist Marina Silva and 19% for the PSDB candidate Aécio Neves; two days ago, the numbers were 39% for Dilma, 25% for Marina, and 19% for Aécio; in second-round simulations, Dilma wins against Marina (43% to 36%) and Aécio (46% to 33%); a Datafolha poll diverges from the Ibope numbers and indicates a technical tie between Aécio and Marina.

October 02, 2014, 21:52 PMUpdated July 05, 2018, 13:49 pm

Here are the numbers from the new Ibope poll: President Dilma Rousseff, of the PT party, has 40%, compared to 24% for the socialist Marina Silva and 19% for the PSDB candidate Aécio Neves; two days ago, the numbers were 39% for Dilma, 25% for Marina and 19% for Aécio; in second-round simulations, Dilma wins against Marina (43% to 36%) and Aécio (46% to 33%); a Datafolha poll diverges from the Ibope numbers and indicates a technical tie between Aécio and Marina (Photo: Aline Lima)

Mariana Tokarnia - Reporter for Agência Brasil

An Ibope poll released today (2), three days before the elections, shows the PT candidate for re-election, Dilma Rousseff, with 40% of voting intentions; Marina Silva, of the PSB, with 24%, and Aécio Neves, of the PSDB, with 19%. The poll was commissioned by Rede Globo and the newspaper The State of S. Paul. In previous searchAccording to a poll released on the 30th, Dilma had 39%, Marina 25%, and Aécio 19% of the respondents' preference.

This is the second-to-last Ibope poll before the elections, the last one will be released on Saturday (4).

In the poll released this Thursday, the candidates from PSC, Pastor Everaldo, and PSOL, Luciana Genro, each had 1% of the voting intentions. Eduardo Jorge, from PV; Zé Maria, from PSTU; Eymael, from PSDC; Levy Fidelix, from PRTB; Mauro Iasi, from PCB; and Rui Costa Pimenta, from PCO, together, had 1%. Null or blank votes totaled 8%, and undecided voters, 7%.

Regarding valid votes, if blank and null votes and those of undecided voters are excluded, Dilma would have 47% of the votes, Marina 28%, Aécio 22%, Luciana Genro 1%, and Pastor Everaldo 1%. The others would have less than 1%.

This is the same procedure used by the Electoral Court to announce the official election results. To win the election in the first round, a candidate needs 50% plus one of the valid votes.

In a simulated second-round election between Marina and Dilma, Dilma would win with 43% of the votes, while Marina would receive 36%. Blank and null votes would total 12%, and 8% did not know or did not answer.

In a second round between Dilma and Aécio, Dilma would win with 46% against 33% for Aécio. Blank and null votes would account for 12%, and undecided voters for 9%. Between Marina and Aécio, Marina would win with 38% of the votes against 33% for Aécio. Blank or null votes would total 18%, and those who didn't know or didn't answer would represent 11%.

Regarding rejection rates among the candidates, Dilma has the highest rate, 29%; Aécio, 20%; Marina, 18%; Pastor Everaldo, 13%; Levy Fidelix, 13%; Eymael, 10%; Luciana Genro, 10%; Zé Maria, 9%; Mauro Iasi, 8%; Rui Costa Pimenta, 8%; and Eduardo Jorge, 7%.

The evaluation of Dilma's government was considered excellent or good by 39% of those interviewed. Those who responded that it was average totaled 33%, and those who considered the government bad or terrible, 26%. Two percent did not know how to answer.

Ibope interviewed 3.010 voters in 205 municipalities between September 29th and October 1st. The survey has a 95% confidence level and a margin of error of 2 percentage points, plus or minus. The survey was registered with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under protocol BR-00942/2014.