Dirceu: Marina's personal decision divides PSB and Rede.
The former minister states that the refusal of members of the Sustainability Network, the party conceived by Marina Silva, to join the national leadership of the PSB is further proof "of the tension and division surrounding Marina Silva's personal and sovereign decision to support Eduardo Campos," which he considers an "absurd alliance."
247 - In a critique of the alliance between Marina Silva and Eduardo Campos, former minister José Dirceu states that the decision by members of Rede Sustentabilidade – a party conceived by the former senator but not registered in time for the 2014 elections – to refuse the invitation to join the national leadership of the PSB, presided over by the governor of Pernambuco, is further proof "of the tension and division surrounding Marina Silva's personal and sovereign decision to support Eduardo Campos." According to the Workers' Party member, this is a "bizarre alliance" that leads the PSB and Rede to reject each other in the states.
The analysis was published in your blogRead below:
Marina's solitary and sovereign decision leads PSB and Rede to reject each other in the states.
Beyond the research published sequentially on Saturday, Sunday, and today, which shows in all questions posed to voters that President Dilma Rousseff will win the 2014 election in the first round and is the main beneficiary of former Senator Marina Silva's (PSB/Rede Sustentabilidade) withdrawal from the race to support Governor Eduardo Campos (PSB), the political week begins agitated with Rede's refusal to join the PSB's national leadership.
On the contrary, when invited, they announced that they refuse (how much unity on that side, huh!) and decided to resume the effort to gather the necessary signatures to legalize the party. This is yet another sign, reinforcing several others issued last week, of the tension and division surrounding Marina Silva's personal and sovereign decision to support Eduardo Campos.
In the states, you look at it state by state, and there are only problems with the bizarre national alliance and the local alliances. Starting with the Maranhão native and former PT member, congressman Domingos Dutra (PSB-MA), who is leaving Rede dissatisfied with what he calls the indirect rapprochement between the PSB-Rede partners and the Sarney family in that state. Dutra sees this rapprochement as stemming from the fact that congresswoman Eliziane Gama from his state switched from PPS to Rede.
PSB and Rede reject each other in practically all states.
In Goiás, the leader of the DEM party in the Chamber of Deputies, Ronaldo Caiado, a symbol of environmentalism and democratic socialism, after agreeing to form a coalition (and supporting the party in the state) and even being invited by Eduardo Campos to be Minister of Agriculture, is now breaking the alliance with Campos after being ousted by Marina Silva.
In the states it governs, the PSB has already lost its largest, Ceará (Governor Cid Gomes). In next year's election, it has no chance in Piauí (Governor Wilson Martins). Without alliances with the PT and PMDB, it could lose in Amapá (Governor Capiberipe); and also in Espírito Santo (Governor Renato Casagrande), without alliances with the PT and PMDB.
Among the states governed by socialists, the PSB will face tough competition in Paraíba (Governor Ricardo Coutinho) and even in Pernambuco, where, despite the strength of the governor-presidential candidate Eduardo Campos, a PT-PTB alliance plus a PSDB candidacy will require a great effort from Campos to keep the state government under his PSB's control.
To get an idea of what this alliance between the PSB and Rede parties is like in the states, I recommend reading an article by Renato Dias in Diário da Manhã about this union in Goiás. It's a must-read. Click here to read.
The good news from the poll is the growth of Dilma's candidacy.
I analyzed only a few states as examples, but the burden of problems, tension, and division surrounding Marina Silva's personal and sovereign decision to support Eduardo Campos permeates this pre-election phase and preparation for the 2014 election in practically all states.
The good news in the Datafolha poll is the growth of President Dilma's candidacy for re-election in the Northeast and among the middle classes, particularly those with higher education and income levels, where she is expected to continue and could grow further, securing a first-round victory. As I mentioned at the beginning of this analysis, this would only not have happened if Marina had not withdrawn from the race.
Another striking statistic is Marina Silva's low capacity to transfer votes to those she supports, and the high rejection rate of former president Fernando Henrique Cardoso (60%) and former governor José Serra (54%), with voters saying they would not vote for a candidate endorsed by them (and this 13 years after they left office...).
Unlike former president Lula, the absolute champion by this criterion, with 38% potential for vote transfer – note that almost 40% of voters say they will vote for a candidate endorsed by him.