Datafolha confirms: Lula is unbeatable and will easily win the 2018 election.
A new round of Datafolha polling indicates that Lula comfortably leads the first round with 30% of the vote, and that he would also easily defeat any opponent in the second round; in other words: if there is an election without fraud, in which the Judiciary is not at the service of a coup, Lula will be the next president.
247 - Brazilian voters want the return of former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. That's what the new poll indicates.Research on the 2018 presidential election, conducted by Datafolha. published this Sunday (10) by the newspaper "Folha de S.Paulo" with voting intention rates for the 2018 presidential election. 2.824 interviews were conducted between June 6 and 7, in 174 municipalities. The margin of error is 2 percentage points more or less.
Check out the results of the 4 scenarios surveyed in the first round:
Scenario 1 (If Lula is a candidate)
Lula (PT): 30%
Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 17%
Marina Silva (Rede): 10%
Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB): 6%
Ciro Gomes (PDT): 6%
Alvaro Dias (Podemos): 4%
Manuela D'Ávila (PC do B): fluctuates between 1% and 2%
Rodrigo Maia (DEM): fluctuates between 1% and 2%
Aldo Rebelo (SDD): fluctuates between 0% and 1%
Fernando Collor de Mello (PTC): fluctuates between 0% and 1%
Flávio Rocha (PRB): fluctuates between 0% and 1%
Guilherme Afif Domingos (PSD): fluctuates between 0% and 1%
Guilherme Boulos (PSOL): fluctuates between 0% and 1%
Henrique Meirelles (MDB): fluctuates between 0% and 1%
João Amoêdo (Novo): fluctuates between 0% and 1%
João Goulart Filho (PPL): fluctuates between 0% and 1%
Josué Alencar (PR): fluctuates between 0% and 1%
Levy Fidelix (PRTB): fluctuates between 0% and 1%
Paulo Rabello de Castro (PSC): does not reach 1% in any scenario.
No candidate: 21%
Scenario 2 (If the PT nominates Fernando Haddad instead of Lula)
Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 19%
Marina Silva (Rede): 15%
Ciro Gomes (PDT): 10%
Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB): 7%
Alvaro Dias (Podemos): 4%
Fernando Haddad (PT): 1%
No candidate: 33%
Scenario 3 (If the PT nominates Jaques Wagner instead of Lula)
Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 19%
Marina Silva (Rede): 14%
Ciro Gomes (PDT): 10%
Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB): 7%
Alvaro Dias (Podemos): 4%
Jaques Wagner (PT): 1%
No candidate: 33%
Scenario 4 (If the PT is not included in the election):
Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 19%
Marina Silva (Rede): 15%
Ciro Gomes (PDT): 11%
Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB): 7%
Alvaro Dias (Podemos): 4%
No candidate: 34%
Scenario 4 - 1st round
Scenarios researched for the second round:
Scenario 1 (if Lula is a candidate and reaches the second round):
Lula (PT): 49%
Jair Bolsonaro (PSL): 32%
Blank/null: 17%
Don't know: 1%
Scenario 2 (if Lula is a candidate and reaches the second round):
Lula (PT): 49%
Alckmin (PSDB): 27%
Blank/Null: 22%
Don't know: 1%
Scenario 3 (if Lula is a candidate and reaches the second round):
Lula (PT): 46%
Marina (Network): 31%
Blank/Null: 21%
Don't know: 1%
Scenario 4 (if the PT nominates Fernando Haddad instead of Lula):
Alckmin (PSDB): 36%
Haddad (PT): 20%
Blank/Null: 40%
Don't know: 4%
Scenario 5 (if the PT nominates Fernando Haddad instead of Lula):
Bolsonaro (PSL): 36%
Haddad (PT): 27%
Blank/Null: 34%
Don't know: 3%
Scenario 6 (if the PT nominates Fernando Haddad instead of Lula):
Ciro (PDT): 38%
Haddad (PT): 19%
Blank/Null: 38%
Don't know: 4%
Scenario 7 (without Lula):
Ciro (PDT): 32%
Alckmin (PSDB): 31%
Blank/Null: 34%
Don't know: 3%
Scenario 8 (Without Lula):
Marina (Network): 42%
Alckmin (PSDB): 27%
Blank/Null: 29%
Don't know: 2%
Scenario 9 (without Lula):
Alckmin (PSDB): 33%
Bolsonaro (PSL): 33%
Blank/Null: 32%
Don't know: 3%
Scenario 10 (without Lula):
Marina (Network): 42%
Bolsonaro (PSL): 32%
Blank/Null: 24%
Don't know: 2%
Scenario 11 (without Lula):
Ciro (PDT): 36%
Bolsonaro (PSL): 34%
Blank/Null: 28%
Don't know: 3%
Scenario 12 (without Lula):
Marina (Network): 41%
Ciro (PDT): 29%
Blank/Null: 28%
Don't know: 2%