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Trump's disapproval rating surpasses his approval rating for the first time, according to statistics.

Data shows a decline in the popularity of the US president, according to projections by Nate Silver.

US President Donald Trump speaks with reporters in Washington - 22/02/2025 (Photo: REUTERS/Craig Hudson)

247 - US President Donald Trump's disapproval rating has surpassed his approval rating for the first time since the start of his term on January 20th. This information was released by American statistician Nate Silver, one of the leading experts in analyzing election polls in the country. According to his projections, Trump's approval rating stands at 47,9%, while his disapproval rating has reached 48,1%, reports [source missing]. Metropolis.

Silver uses a method that combines data from different research institutes to calculate the average presidential approval rating. The new numbers indicate that Trump's net approval rating has fallen from +0,8% to -0,2%, marking the first time he has registered a negative rating since taking office.

The statistician's analysis also highlighted a survey conducted by JL Partners, which revealed that 51% of registered voters disapprove of Trump's administration. Silver reinforced that economic factors can have a significant impact on presidential approval ratings: "they can have an impact, even if other factors don't."

Approval ratings are updated regularly as new polls are released. The average of the surveys directly reflects voters' perception of the current administration, demonstrating a downward trend in Trump's popularity. 

Who is Nate Silver? Nate Silver is an American statistician, writer, and data analyst, known for his expertise in election forecasting and statistical analysis. He gained notoriety by creating the website FiveThirtyEight, which specializes in statistics and projections for elections, sports, and the economy.

Key career highlights of Nate Silver:

  • Election predictions: He became famous for correctly predicting the results of the 2008 and 2012 US presidential elections, using advanced statistical models that combined different opinion polls.
  • Founder of FiveThirtyEight: He founded the site in 2008, which was later acquired by ESPN and, still later, by The New York Times. Currently, the site operates independently and is a leading source for political data analysis.
  • Author of a best-selling book: he wrote "The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't" (2012), a book about how to distinguish useful information from "noise" in statistical predictions.
  • Experience in sports statistics: before becoming a prominent name in politics, Silver developed statistical models to predict the performance of baseball players.

Silver is widely respected for his analytical rigor and his ability to interpret large volumes of data, making his projections a benchmark for both politicians and the public interested in electoral statistics.

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