Rosângela Bittar: It's clear that Bolsonaro will fall. The question is whether it will be through impeachment or the TSE (Superior Electoral Court).

247 - Journalist Rosângela, columnist for the newspaper The State of S. Paul writes that in the political world "n"No one is discussing anymore whether the president [Bolsonaro] will last until the end of his term." And add: "The question is how it will turn out, whether through the annulment of the ticket in the Superior Electoral Court (TSE), or through removal via Congress, the impeachment. For both outcomes, the necessary conditions do not yet exist, in terms of evidence, loss of support, or political weakening."

The annulment of the ticket, which in recent weeks was seen as the easiest hypothesis, has "lost favorability" due to the "lack of irrefutable evidence." "Bots spreading fake news, forming a network of hate and its decisive effects on the election, are politically 'tenuous' pieces of evidence, arid and technical issues, difficult to understand, even for the judges of the electoral court," he assesses.

Rosângela also notes that the time elapsed since the election and the fact that the impeachment also extends to the vice-president, General Hamilton Mourão, could result in a "misstep and unnecessary move." "Regarding the impeachment, there's a lot to imagine, but still little to see. The pandemic prevents leaders and negotiators from holding meetings. No one orchestrates the removal of a president of the Republic via the internet," she emphasizes.

Despite this, she believes that "the president's image will hardly recover" and that Bolsonaro "made an objective calculation when betting all his chips on the Centrão," which should enter the municipal elections strengthened. "What he will do afterwards is another story. If the safe to protect is empty, weakened, isolated, the group will embark, as is its nature, on the expectation of future power," she says.