Forbes magazine predicts Temer's downfall and a new crisis in Brazil.
The magazine "Forbes," which for years has always expressed severe criticism of the economic policy conducted during the administrations of former presidents Lula and Dilma, surprised a large part of its readers in its edition of last Wednesday, the 18th, with a report predicting the fall of the Temer government and the emergence of a new crisis in Brazil.
From the Sputnik Agency
The magazine "Forbes," which for years has always expressed severe criticism of the conduct of economic policy during the administrations of former presidents Lula and Dilma, surprised a large part of its readers in the edition of last Wednesday, the 18th, with a report predicting the fall of the Temer government and the emergence of a new crisis in Brazil.
The publication points to three signs of these changes. The first is the growing possibility that the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) will recognize the accusations of impropriety against the Dilma-Temer ticket in the 2014 election. Interestingly, the lawsuit was filed by the PSDB, now one of the government's allied parties. The second reason, according to "Forbes," would be the dissolution of part of the allied base, concerned about its political future in the 2018 elections. The third reason would be the 64% rejection of the government in the face of the proposed reforms to Social Security and the labor market, in addition to the slow economic recovery.
The deputy secretary for International Affairs of the Unified Workers' Central (CUT), Ariovaldo Camargo, partially agrees with the diagnosis outlined in the publication.
"It's somewhat natural that those who positioned themselves in favor of the coup, such as the major Brazilian media outlets, have realized the difficulties the Temer government has been facing since it presented two very contradictory agendas in the Brazilian scenario (labor reform and pension reform). It is very likely that the parliamentary base itself will begin to abandon this project to some extent," says the CUT member.
According to Camargo, the weakening of the government demonstrates that the next two years will be very difficult.
"The government, which is the result of a coup, lacks the moral authority to present certain issues to society, issues that are crucial to the life of any Brazilian citizen—the prospect of their retirement and how their employment contract is governed. Given this situation, it seems to me that the government is indeed heading towards not continuing its term. I think the path they will pursue is through the Superior Electoral Court, with the aim of seeking an indirect election in the future to try to salvage what they want to do, because society doesn't have the confidence in Temer that he thought he had to implement such structural measures in the economy and in the lives of the Brazilian people," states the secretary.
Camargo also says that there are clear signs that the country is already beginning to live with the pre-calendar for 2018.
"It's not for nothing that there's a bill in the Chamber of Deputies, in the Constitution and Justice Committee, that would prevent any Brazilian citizen from running for three terms as president of the Republic. We're calling it the Anti-Lula Bill because he's the only one who could be affected, along with Fernando Henrique Cardoso, who certainly isn't a pre-candidate for anything else. This doesn't apply to governors or mayors, only to the president of the Republic," he says ironically.
Camargo says that the deputies who intend to be elected next year do not want their names linked to the approval of these proposals. The CUT secretary assures, however, that the union movement will place in each state the photograph of the deputy who votes in favor of the pension reform.