Fernando Brito: Datafolha poll shows Bolsonaro is losing popularity, but hasn't fallen yet.
"The eventual impeachment of Bolsonaro, if it happens, will not be immediate, although it corresponds to a rational necessity of Brazilian politics," writes journalist Fernando Brito, from Tijolaço. "Nothing so strange in a country that, in recent years, has lost its reason in politics and in everything else."
By Fernando Brito, from Tijolaço The Datafolha poll released tonight is in the same vein. as was speculated here earlier today.Bolsonaro has not suffered losses that make his downfall imminent, although he is losing ground among the middle class – as has already been happening and the pot-banging protests demonstrate – but he is maintaining his loyal, fanatical base.
According to Datafolha, between a quarter and a third of Brazilians continue to lend their support to Jair Bolsonaro, whether due to the disastrous way he is handling the coronavirus crisis (27%) or by considering his government excellent or good (33%).
In either case, it's still enough to surpass the "average" rating – 25% and 26%, which, in theory, would reflect the expression of a center-right – and this still leaves him as the leader of the conservative field.
Moro's approval rating (64%) is not impressive. It's the sanctity of a corpse, which lasts until its burial and fades with its absence.
In my view, Bolsonaro remains firm in his plan: to maintain his hegemony within the recently inaugurated Brazilian "wild right," making it impossible for a competitor to emerge from a supposedly civilized right wing, which is not quite so, because, in the name of... anti-leftism He agreed to elect a psychopath like him to the presidency.
The clash will not take place there, but in the devastated landscape of the post-pandemic country.
Today, a lunatic named Paulo Guedes predicted economic recovery through “investments (concessions) in sanitation, oil and gas, and infrastructure.” He must be crazy to think there will be capital investing in oil – at less than $30 a barrel – and in areas where investments take at least ten years to start yielding returns for investors.
It is clearly untenable, when an economy descends into the swamp of recession, for a government to implement contractionary measures and cuts. Even more so when, against the government's will, it has been forced to adopt a minimum income program that, if cut, will not happen without social trauma.
The eventual impeachment of Bolsonaro, should it happen, will not be immediate, although it corresponds to a rational necessity of Brazilian politics.
Nothing so strange in a country that, in recent years, has lost its reason, in politics and in everything else.