Marconi leads in Goiás with 10,9 points over Iris.

Governor Marconi Perillo (PSDB) leads the race for the Palácio das Esmeraldas (Governor's Palace), with 37% of voting intentions, according to a Grupom/Diário da Manhã poll conducted between August 4th and 7th with 1.011 voters. The PSDB candidate has a 10,9-point lead over the second-place candidate, former mayor of Goiânia Iris Rezende (PMDB), who has 26,1% of voting intentions, the institute shows.

Former mayors of Senador Canedo, Vanderlan Cardoso (PSB), and Anápolis, Antônio Gomide (PT), are tied for third place, with 9,5% and 6,1% of voting intentions, respectively. The margin of error is 3,1 percentage points, plus or minus, which constitutes a technical tie between the two gubernatorial candidates.

PCB candidate Marta Jane has 1,2% of the voting intentions. Professor Weslei, from PSOL, has 1%, and Alexandre Magalhães, PSDC candidate for governor of Goiás, has 1%.

Voters who did not answer the question about their candidate preference or who stated they were undecided totaled 10,3%. The remaining 8,5% of voters interviewed stated that they will cast a blank vote or annul their vote in the October 5 elections.

Grupom calculated the percentage of valid votes in the poll for the government of Goiás. Marconi has 45,6% of the votes, and Iris obtains 32,2%. Vanderlan has 11,7%, and Gomide, 7,6%. Marta Jane, Professor Weslei, and Alexandre Magalhães obtain, respectively, 1,5%, 1,2%, and 0,4% of the valid votes in the poll.

Valid votes are calculated by excluding from the overall result those voters who claim not to know who to vote for or who say they will vote blank or null. This is how the Electoral Court counts the votes for the candidates to present the election results.

Rejection

Marconi and Iris have similar rejection rates, according to the Grupom/Diário da Manhã survey. The governor has a 33,7% rejection rate, while Iris has 29,7%. Marta Jane follows with a 19,1% rejection rate.

Antônio Gomide has a rejection rate of 19,1%, and Vanderlan Cardoso, 18,1%. Alexandre Magalhães appears with 17%, and Weslei Garcia, with 16,9%. According to Grupom, 35,2% of voters interviewed stated that they would vote for any of the seven candidates for governor of Goiás.

spontaneous

Governor Marconi Perillo (PSDB) also comfortably leads the race for governor of Goiás in the spontaneous poll, in which voters freely indicate their preferred candidate without the aid of a list of names. The PSDB candidate has 21,3% of the voting intentions, 10,8 percentage points ahead of former mayor of Goiânia Iris Rezende (PMDB), who obtains 10,5% of the votes.

The PSB candidate, Vanderlan Cardoso, has 5,3% and is tied for third place with the PT candidate, Antônio Gomide, who has 3,2%. Professor Weslei Garcia (PSol) has 0,2% of the voting intentions, and Alexandre Magalhães (PSDC) and Marta Jane (PCB) appear with less than 0,1% of the votes, according to a survey by Grupom.

Voters who did not answer the question or who stated they were undecided totaled 59,3%, according to the survey. Grupom interviewed 1.011 voters throughout the state between August 4th and 7th. The survey's margin of error is 3,1 percentage points, plus or minus, and the confidence interval is 95%.

Marconi leads in second-round scenarios with a lead of up to 29,5 points.

In a survey conducted between August 4th and 7th, the Grupom Institute also measured voting intentions in three possible second-round scenarios, and Governor Marconi Perillo (PSDB) leads in all of them with a wide margin. In the event of a contest with former mayor of Goiânia, Iris Rezende (PMDB), the PSDB candidate has 40,9% and the PMDB candidate has 32,9% of the voting intentions. Undecided voters total 13,6%, and 12,6% stated that they would vote blank or null.

In a hypothetical contest against the former mayor of Senador Canedo, Vanderlan Cardoso (PSB), Marconi's advantage widens from 8 percentage points (as in the contest with Iris) to 21,9 points. The PSDB candidate has 49,2% of the voting intentions, compared to 27,3% for the PSB candidate. Undecided voters total 10,1%, and 13,5% say they would cast a blank or invalid vote in the gubernatorial election.

In a potential second-round runoff against former Anápolis mayor Antônio Gomide, Marconi's lead reaches 29,5 percentage points – the largest of the three scenarios simulated by the Grupom/Diário da Manhã survey. Marconi has 50,2% of the voting intentions, compared to 20,7% for the Workers' Party candidate. Undecided voters total 14,4%, and 14,6% say they would vote blank or annul their vote.

Grupom interviewed 1.011 voters across all regions of the state. The margin of error for the survey is 3,1 percentage points, plus or minus, and the confidence interval is 95%.

Grupom calculated the valid votes for the three second-round scenarios. In a matchup between Marconi and Iris, the PSDB candidate has 55,4% of the valid votes, compared to Iris's 44,6%, a 10,8 percentage point advantage for the governor. When the opponent is Vanderlan, the governor has 64,3% of the votes and the former mayor obtains 35,7% – a difference of 28,6 percentage points. In the scenario with Gomide, the PSDB candidate has 70,9% of the valid votes and the PT candidate, 29,1%, a 41,8 percentage point advantage for Marconi.

Valid votes are calculated by excluding from the overall result those voters who claim not to know who to vote for or who say they will vote blank or null. This is how the Electoral Court counts the votes for the candidates to present the election results.

Senate

Federal deputy Ronaldo Caiado (DEM) leads the race for the Senate with 31,8% of voting intentions, according to a Grupom/Diário da Manhã poll conducted between August 4th and 7th. Alternate federal deputy Marina Sant'Anna (PT) and federal deputy Vilmar Rocha (PSD) are technically tied for second place, with 11,9% and 9,2% of voting intentions, respectively, the poll shows.

Grupom interviewed 1.011 voters across all regions of the state. The survey's margin of error is 3,1 percentage points, plus or minus, and the confidence interval is 95%. Candidate Antônio Neto has 2,9% of the voting intentions, Aguimar Jesuíno (PSB) appears with 1,1%, and Aldo Muro has 0,5%. Elber Sampaio has less than 0,1% of the voting intentions, according to the survey.

According to the Grupom survey, 28,9% of voters say they are undecided about their choice of Senate candidate. The remaining 13,7% of voters surveyed say they would cast a blank or null vote if the elections were held today.

spontaneous

In spontaneous polling for the Senate, the undecided voter percentage reaches 90,4%, according to Grupom. Among voters who freely indicated their preferred candidate – in this case without a list of options – Caiado leads with 5,5% of mentions, followed by Vilmar Rocha, who has 2%.

Marina Sant'Anna obtained 1,6% and Antônio Neto had 0,2% of the voting intentions in the spontaneous survey, according to the poll. Candidates Aguimar Jesuíno (PSB), Aldo Muro, and Elber Sampaio did not reach 0,1% of the mentions from the voters interviewed, states Grupom.

Rejection

The Senate candidates have similar rejection rates, the survey shows. Ronaldo Caiado leads with a 29,6% rejection rate, followed by Marina Sant'Anna, who has 28%, and Vilmar Rocha, with 27,5%, according to Grupom.

Next come Elder Sampaio, with 26,4%, Aguimar Jesuíno, with 25,9%, and Aldo Muro and Antônio Neto, with a 25,8% rejection rate each. According to the survey, 49,8% of voters interviewed say they could vote for any of the candidates in the Senate election.

Dilma has 31,2% and Aécio, 25%.

President Dilma Rousseff (PT), running for re-election, and Senator Aécio Neves (PSDB) are polarizing the race for the Planalto Palace in the preference of voters in Goiás, according to a Grupom/Diário da Manhã poll conducted between August 4th and 7th. Rousseff leads with 31,2% of voting intentions, closely followed by Neves with 25%.

The survey's margin of error is 3,1 percentage points, plus or minus. Grupom interviewed 1.011 voters throughout the state, and the survey's confidence level is 95% – which indicates that the probability of the numbers being correct and within the margin of error is 95%.

Former governor of Pernambuco, Eduardo Campos (PSB), is in third place in the preference of voters in Goiás and has 8,8% of the voting intentions for the Presidency of the Republic. In fourth place is the PSC candidate, Pastor Everaldo, who obtains 3,9% of the intentions. The PV candidate, Eduardo Jorge, has 1,3%.

The other presidential candidates did not reach 1% of voting intentions. Rui Costa Pimenta and Zé Maria each have 0,9%, Luciana Genro has 0,8%, Mauro Iasi appears with 0,3%, Levy Fidélix has 0,2%, and Eymael has 0,1%. Undecided voters total 16,6% of those interviewed, and the other 10,1% say they will vote blank or annul their vote in the presidential race.

In valid votes, Dilma has 42,5% of the intended votes, compared to Aécio's 34,1%. Eduardo Campos appears with 12% of the valid votes and Pastor Everaldo has 5,3%. Eduardo Costa Pimenta has 1,8%, Rui Costa Pimenta and Zé Maria obtain 1,2%, and Luciana Genro, 1,1%. Mauro Iasi, Levy Fidélix, and Eymael have, respectively, 0,4%, 0,3%, and 0,1% of the valid votes in the Grupom poll.

Valid votes are calculated by excluding from the overall result those voters who claim not to know who to vote for or who say they will vote blank or null. This is how the Electoral Court counts the votes for the candidates to present the election results.

spontaneous

In the spontaneous survey, in which voters freely choose their preferred candidates, Dilma has 18,7% of the voting intentions, compared to 11,9% for Aécio. Eduardo Campos obtains 4%. Pastor Everaldo has 1% and Eduardo Jorge, 0,3% of the intentions.

According to Grupom, 64% of voters are undecided or did not answer the question about their preference for presidential candidates in the spontaneous survey. The other candidates in the election were not spontaneously mentioned by any of the voters.

Dilma loses to Aécio and ties with Campos in the second round.

The situation regarding the presidential race in Goiás voters' preferences changes completely in the event of a second round, according to a Grupom/Diário da Manhã poll. President Dilma Rousseff (PT), running for re-election, would lose to Senator Aécio Neves (PSDB) if the elections were held today, the poll shows. The PSDB candidate would win with 40% of the vote, compared to 34% for the PT candidate. According to the survey, 11,9% of voters are undecided and 14,1% would say they would vote blank or null.

In a potential second-round runoff against former Pernambuco governor Eduardo Campos (PSB), the election would be undecided. The Workers' Party candidate and the PSB candidate appear technically tied: Dilma has 35,5% of the voting intentions and Campos, 35,3%. In this case, it would be impossible to say which of the two would win if the elections were held today, since the margin of error of the survey is 3,1 percentage points, plus or minus. Undecided voters in the scenario of a contest between Dilma and Campos total 14%, and 15,1% say they would vote blank or null.

Grupom interviewed 1.011 voters across all regions of the state. The margin of error for the survey is 3,1 percentage points, plus or minus, and the confidence interval is 95%.

In terms of valid votes, Aécio has 54% of the valid votes, compared to Dilma's 46%. When the opponent is Campos, the technical tie persists between the two in total votes: the Workers' Party candidate has 50,1% and Campos, 49,9% of the valid votes. Valid votes are calculated by excluding from the overall result voters who say they don't know who to vote for or who say they will vote blank or null. This is how the Electoral Court counts the candidates' votes to present the election results.

Dilma's disapproval rating is 46,9%.

President Dilma Rousseff (PT) is the most rejected presidential candidate in the race for the Planalto Palace among voters in Goiás, according to a survey by Grupom/Diário da Manhã. The survey indicates that Rousseff has a 46,9% rejection rate, compared to 24,8% for Senator Aécio Neves (PSDB).

The other candidates have rejection rates between 20,8% and 17,6%, respectively, for Pastor Everaldo and Mauro Iasi. According to the survey, 31,7% of voters interviewed stated that they would vote for any of the presidential candidates.

Exclusive

Universe: Voters of Goiás — Sample size: 1.011 voters — Margin of error: 3,1 percentage points, plus or minus — Confidence interval: 95% — Period of execution: August 4 to 7, 2014 — Execution: Grupom Consultoria Empresarial Ltda. — Contracting party: Diário da Manhã — Registrations with the Electoral Court: TSE: BR-00331/2014; TER-GO: GO-00059/2014, both registered on August 5, 2014. (Helton Lenine, from Diário da Manhã)