Lula leads in Pernambuco with 62%, says Ibope.

247 - A poll by Ibope, conducted in partnership with Jornal do Commercio and Globo network, indicates that former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva comfortably leads the presidential race in Pernambuco. Despite being imprisoned in Curitiba, Lula has 62% of the vote intention among Pernambuco residents. Presidential candidate Jair Bolsonaro (PSL) is in second place with 11% of voter preference.

In this scenario, former senator Marina Silva (Rede) has only 4% of the voting intentions. It is worth noting that Marina, who in 2014 replaced former governor Eduardo Campos after he died in a plane crash, was the most voted candidate in the state in the first round of the last presidential election. Candidates Ciro Gomes (PDT) and Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB) have 3%. The other presidential candidates register 1% or less.

In a scenario without Lula, Marina appears technically tied with Jair Bolsonaro. Taking her own candidacy, Marina leads with 16%, followed by Bolsonaro, who registers 12%. With a margin of error of three percentage points, the two are technically tied.

In this scenario, Ciro Gomes appears with 9% and Geraldo Alckmin with 6%. Former São Paulo mayor Fernando Haddad, Lula's running mate who would assume the ticket if the former president is prevented from participating in the election by the Federal Court, appears with 4% of voting intentions. Given the potential for Lula's votes to be transferred, the PT has already announced that Haddad will intensify his trips to the Northeast in a strategy to reinforce the image that he is Lula's candidate. The other candidates register 2% or less in a scenario where Lula is out of the race.