DATA AZ: Wellington Dias leads in Parnaíba
If the election were held today, Governor Wellington Dias (PT) would have 39,40% of the votes in the prompted poll; the second-placed candidate is state deputy Dr. Pessoa, from Podemos, with 11,40%; Wellington also maintains his lead in the spontaneous poll, with 12%; in a second-round simulation, the governor wins against all opponents; he has the highest rejection rate, but only 11%.
Piauí 247 – Research conducted by the Data AZ Institute in Parnaíba indicates that if the election were held today, Governor Wellington Dias (PT), running for reelection, would have 39,40% of the votes in a prompted poll. In an unprompted poll, he maintains his lead, but with a percentage of 12%, according to a report by... Portal O Dia.
The second-place candidate is state representative Dr. Pessoa, from Podemos, with 11,40%, a good distance behind Luciano Nunes, from PSDB, who is in third place with 4,20% in the poll – practically the same percentage as Elmano Ferrer, with 4%. Valter Alencar, from PSC, appears in fifth place with 1,8%. The other candidates did not reach one percentage point.
Blank, null, and undecided voters in the poll account for almost the same percentage of voting intentions given to the governor: 39%.
spontaneous
Wellington Dias' advantage over his opponents is, individually, more than 12 times greater. He has 12% of the voting intentions, while the others do not reach one percentage point. Pessoa appears with 0,80%, Luciano Nunes has 0,40%, the same percentage as Elmano and former governor Zé Filho, who, although a candidate for state deputy for the PSDB, was mentioned in the survey.
Despite indecision being the norm, the electoral scenario is favorable to the governor. In a second-round simulation, Wellington Dias defeats Dr. Pessoa (43,20% to 22,20%) and Luciano Nunes (47,60% to 14,60%).
If the second round were between Dr. Pessoa and Luciano Nunes, the Solidarity candidate would win with 32,40% of the votes against 13% for the PSDB candidate, with a surprising number of non-votes: null votes, blank votes, and undecided voters, in this hypothetical second round, would total 54,60%.
Rejection
Although he is the most disliked among the gubernatorial candidates, Wellington Dias has no reason to worry about this problem: only 11% of those interviewed say they would not vote for the Workers' Party candidate under any circumstances.
The governor's disapproval rating, however, is at least eight times higher than that of his opponents: 1,6% say they would not vote for Dr. Pessoa under any circumstances, while 1,40% reject Elmano Férrer and 1,2% reject Luciano Nunes.