Esmael Morais: Lula consolidates international leadership and disorganizes the right wing in Brazil.

247 - Journalist Esmael Morais, editor of the Blog do Esmael website, stated in an interview with the TV 247 program Brasil Agora that the recent conversation between Lula and the President of the United States, Donald Trump, represents an important move to strengthen Brazilian diplomacy and weaken the far right in the country. 

"Bolsonarism made a mistake when it bet on an international arena where the PT and Lula have been playing for over fifty years," said Morais.

According to the journalist, the call between Lula and Trump, kept secret until its official disclosure, confirms that the Brazilian government has regained prominence in foreign relations and has successfully repositioned the country as a global interlocutor. 

"The PT has always maintained cordial and diplomatic relations with social-democratic parties and other international actors. This is a strong point of Lula and of Brazilian foreign policy," he said.

"The Brazilian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Itamaraty) is recognized worldwide for its technical expertise and diplomatic skills. This conversation is the result of half a century of collaboration," Morais emphasized.

Bolsonarism "without solid ground" and a fragmented far right.

According to the analyst, the friendly conversation between Lula and Trump, with convergent statements released by both governments, caught Bolsonaro's supporters by surprise, as they were counting on Trump's support to remain relevant in the political arena.

"The far right was betting that Trump would come to Brasília by helicopter to rescue Bolsonaro from house arrest. But the countries aren't friends, they have interests. And Trump's interest is in doing business with Brazil, not saving Bolsonaro," he said ironically.

He highlighted that the diplomatic gesture between the two presidents has disrupted the right wing in Brazil, which is facing an internal leadership crisis. "Lula's success dismantles Bolsonarism and fragments the Centrão, which has become like a weather vane at an airport: it doesn't know whether to disembark or return to supporting the government," he stated.

Dispute between Tarcísio, Ratinho, and Caiado splits the right wing.

Morais explained that, given the fragility of Bolsonarism and the isolation of Jair Bolsonaro, the right-wing camp is trying to forge a unified candidacy around the governor of São Paulo, Tarcísio de Freitas, but is facing regional resistance.

"Bolsonaro will confirm Tarcísio, and here in Paraná, Governor Ratinho Júnior's allies are already admitting this. But Ratinho should finish his term and perhaps run for the Senate," he said.

The journalist also cited the recent exchanges of barbs between Ronaldo Caiado (União Brasil) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) as an example of the disorder within the conservative base. "The right is fracturing. There's a dispute between leaders and their projects, and the success of Lula's government only accentuates this process," he assessed.

The journalist also commented on the situation of Senator Sérgio Moro (União Brasil-PR), whose status as a defendant was upheld by the Supreme Federal Court for statements against Minister Gilmar Mendes.

“If convicted, the Senate can open impeachment proceedings, which would lead to the loss of his mandate and Moro's ineligibility, under the Clean Record Law,” explained Morais, noting that Moro faces political and partisan difficulties, as well as isolation within his own party. “Moro emerged with an anti-political discourse and ended up without friends. He is trying to unite the far right, but he has a very low ceiling and could be defeated by a broad front in the second round,” he said.

Faria Lima and the Tarcísio project

Morais believes that the financial system and the mainstream media are betting on Tarcísio de Freitas as the name capable of uniting the conservative field and challenging Lula at the polls, even without unanimous support from the parties that make up his base.

"Faria Lima wants Tarcísio. But Republicans and PSD are thinking about electing deputies and senators, not about backing a presidential candidacy. Kassab, for example, thinks Lula is unbeatable and prefers to let Tarcísio run in 2030," he pointed out.

The journalist predicts that, once Tarcísio's name is confirmed, the opposition will intensify its attacks on Lula's government. "After the right wing resolves its own chaos, there will be a barrage of attacks against Lula and the PT. It will be one of the bloodiest campaigns in recent history," he warned.