Coronavirus surge in Brazil could lead to 100 cases by April 24.

Sputnik - The average growth rate of 20% over the previous day recorded in Brazil could lead the country to have 100 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the next two weeks, when the peak of the pandemic is expected to arrive on Brazilian soil.

According to a survey compiled According to the newspaper O Estado de S. Paulo, it took Brazil 17 days to officially register its first 100 cases of the disease, between February 26 and March 14. A week later, the number had increased tenfold, with the same growth occurring in the following two weeks.

The country already has more than 15 confirmed cases of the new coronavirus. still approaching 1 deathsIf the average growth rate of cases is maintained, there will be 100 people infected before the end of this month, when COVID-19 is estimated to reach its peak.

The publication reminds that the government's testing capacity This will play an important role in the pace of the official figures' increase. However, due to a lack of supplies and tests, the unmet demand is significant – the report mentions that Brazil may already have more than 100 cases today, but this would not be official precisely because of the lack of testing.

The Ministry of Health maintains that the policy of social isolation is fundamental to combating the new coronavirus. The easing of the quarantine The surge in cases seen this week in some capital cities is worrying authorities, especially as the period considered most dangerous for the disease approaches.

Citing data from the state government, the newspaper states that the number of deaths in São Paulo – the state most affected by COVID-19 – could reach 277 if restrictive measures are not respected. However, if confinement is maintained, the estimated number of victims is much lower: 111 people.