PML: Dilma already in the 2nd round. Opponent is unpredictable.
President Dilma Rousseff (PT) is firmly in first place in the polls – and slowly widening her lead over the other candidates; however, the race for second place – and the consequent qualification for the second round – could have surprises, since the PSB candidate, Marina Silva, has been falling, while the PSDB candidate, Aécio Neves, is showing signs of recovery; this assessment comes from journalist Paulo Moreira Leite, in an analysis published on his blog on 247; "With fifteen days to go before the vote, the prediction is for a literally unpredictable first round, which could resemble 1989, when Lula and Leonel Brizola were tied for second place and the PT candidate won by 400,000 votes," he states.
247 - President Dilma Rousseff (PT) is firmly in first place in the polls – and slowly widening her lead over the other candidates. The race for second place – and the consequent qualification for the second round – could have surprises, as the PSB candidate, Marina Silva, has been falling in the polls, while the PSDB candidate, Aécio Neves, is showing signs of recovery. This assessment comes from journalist Paulo Moreira Leite, in an analysis produced on his website. blog in 247.
"While the latest Datafolha poll already showed Dilma's growth, two recently released internal surveys, available Friday night, placed her at 38% and 39% of voting intentions, presenting an upward trend, without major jumps or speculative movements, but with remarkable regularity. The heated contest, at least at this moment, is for second place. While Dilma is growing even where she seemed stagnant, like São Paulo, Marina is falling throughout the country, and her lead over Aécio Neves is decreasing with each survey," he states.
"With fifteen days to go before the vote, the forecast is for a literally unpredictable first round, which could resemble 1989, when Lula and Leonel Brizola came in tied for second place and the PT candidate won by 400,000 votes — a difference so narrow that, apart from DataFolha, most institutes didn't even risk a prediction in the exit polls, conducted after the vote," adds PML.
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