Noblat sends a message to Bolsonaro: it's better to get used to it.
Former president faces depression, isolation, and sees his appeals to the Supreme Court come to an end.
247 - Jair Bolsonaro's defense team filed a new appeal with the Supreme Federal Court (STF) last night to try to overturn the former president's 27-year and three-month prison sentence. He was convicted of attempted coup d'état, violent abolition of democracy, criminal organization, and damage to public property and listed buildings.
According to journalist Ricardo Noblat, from MetropolisThe appeal is unlikely to have any practical effect. The Supreme Court's First Chamber—composed of Justices Flávio Dino, Cristian Zenin, Cármen Lúcia, and Alexandre de Moraes—is expected to reject the attempt to overturn the conviction. The fifth member, Luiz Fux, who previously voted for Bolsonaro's acquittal, has requested a transfer to the Second Chamber and, even if he votes, is likely to be in the minority again.
In the new composition of the Second Panel, Fux will now work alongside André Mendonça and Nunes Marques, both appointed by Bolsonaro. The wing considered independent will continue to be formed by Gilmar Mendes and José Dias Toffoli. The expectation is that the defense's last appeal will also be denied, upholding the conviction. With that, it will be up to Minister Alexandre de Moraes to decide when the sentence will begin to be served in a closed regime.
While awaiting the legal outcome, Bolsonaro is facing a difficult personal moment. After a long bout of hiccups that lasted more than 30 days, the former president is now reportedly in deep depression, according to people close to him. According to the column, he has been crying frequently—both because of his imminent arrest and the failure of the amnesty proposal in Congress.
Another emotional blow came from abroad. Bolsonaro feels betrayed by the current president of the United States, Donald Trump, whom he has always admired. He believed that the American would publicly support him and put pressure on the Supreme Federal Court (STF), but he saw Trump get closer to President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, including on economic and diplomatic issues.
According to the MetropolisTrump initially sympathized with Bolsonaro, seeing him as a "political persecutee," but changed his position upon realizing that Lula had experienced a similar situation before returning to power. Now, the two presidents are in dialogue regarding the tariffs imposed by the United States on Brazilian imports—a negotiation with no defined end date.
Given his political and personal isolation, Noblat concludes that Bolsonaro should start "getting used to" the new scenario. The columnist states that the former president will spend Christmas and New Year's Eve 2025 alone, while his sons pursue their own paths: Flávio will seek re-election to the Senate for Rio de Janeiro, Carlos plans to run for the Senate in Santa Catarina, and Eduardo reportedly has plans to live in Disney.
