Lula regains support among women, people from the Northeast of Brazil, and Catholics, according to Quaest.
The survey was conducted through 2.004 face-to-face interviews nationwide, covering citizens aged 16 and over.
247 - The latest Genial/Quaest survey, released this Wednesday (8), indicates a significant recovery in President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's approval rating in strategic segments of his electorate, such as women, Northeasterners, Catholics and beneficiaries of social programs. The survey also revealed progress in the Southeast, a region that brings together the three largest electoral colleges in the country: São Paulo, Minas Gerais and Rio de Janeiro.
Research indicates that Lula has reduced the gap between approval and disapproval ratings in the Southeast region. In May, 64% of voters in the region disapproved of the government, while only 32% approved. Now, the figures show 52% disapproval and 44% approval, narrowing the gap to eight percentage points—significantly less than the 32 points previously recorded.
Northeast
The Northeast, which accounts for 28% of the national electorate, kept Lula's approval rating high. The president's approval rating fluctuated from 60% in September to 62% in October, while his disapproval rating remained practically stable, going from 35% to 36%.
Among Bolsa Família beneficiaries, the growth was even more significant. Of the 19,6 million families served, approximately 9 million live in the Northeast. In this group, approval rose from 64% to 67% since September, while disapproval fell from 32% to 31%. Considering a longer period, since May, approval jumped from 51% to the current 67%, while disapproval receded from 44% to 31%.
Support for women is on the rise.
Women, who make up the majority of the Brazilian electorate, also registered an improvement in their evaluation of the government. For the first time in five months, approval (52%) surpassed disapproval (45%). The previous month, the numbers were tied at 48%.
Religion
The religious breakdown shows that Catholics have increased their support for the president, rising from 51% to 54% approval, while disapproval has fallen from 46% to 44%. Among evangelicals, however, the scenario remains adverse: 64% disapprove of the government, compared to 34% who approve. In September, the percentages were 61% and 35%, respectively.
During the 2022 campaign, Lula even published a letter aimed at the evangelical population, in an attempt to dispel rumors about church closures or changes to abortion laws, but the sector continues to be one of the main focuses of resistance to his government.
According to political scientist Felipe Nunes, CEO of Quaest, the numbers reflect a scenario reminiscent of the division seen in the 2022 elections. "The picture we have right now is very similar to the social division of the 2022 election. It's as if we've returned to where it all began," he stated.
The survey was conducted through 2.004 face-to-face interviews across the country, covering citizens aged 16 and over.
