Ipec's question about the "risk" of Brazil becoming communist leads to negative responses, points out Mario Vitor Santos.

247 - Journalist Mario Vitor Santos criticized the methodology of the Ipec survey on the evaluation of the government, released this Sunday (19). Among other numbers, the survey indicates that 41% of Brazilians rate Lula's administration as good or excellent. 

According to Mario Vitor, the research induced negative responses by asking if the interviewee believes that Brazil "runs the risk" of becoming communist. "The word 'risk' introduces a negative bias. Coincidence?", questioned the commentator and presenter of TV 247. According to the Ipec survey, 48% of respondents said they believe that Brazil "runs the risk of becoming a communist country". 

>>> Ipec: 51% of Brazilians do not see Bolsonaro as guilty of terrorism in Brasília; another portion wants him ineligible to run for office or imprisoned.

Ipec poll shows Lula with a 41% approval rating (good or excellent) after almost three months in office.

The third term of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva does not reproduce the enthusiasm of his two previous governments. "President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) began his third term with a better government approval rating than his predecessor, Jair Bolsonaro (PL), but inspiring less enthusiasm than in his two previous administrations. According to data from the most recent Ipec survey, 41% of Brazilians rate Lula's administration as good or excellent. Another 24% say it is bad or terrible, while 30% consider the beginning of his government to be average," it points out. reporter According to the newspaper O Globo, in March 2019, Bolsonaro had a positive approval rating of 34% of the population, seven percentage points lower than Lula.

"Despite surpassing his opponent, Lula is falling short of his two previous terms. Lula reached 51% approval (excellent or good) in March 2003, when he governed the country for the first time. At that time, disapproval was only 7%. By the end of the same month in 2007, shortly after his re-election, the Workers' Party candidate had the endorsement of 49% of the population, compared to 16% who considered his performance bad or terrible," the report adds.

"Research shows that political polarization continues. Considering this scenario, which is distinct from what Lula encountered in his other terms, he starts on a good footing. The segments that approve of the government are the same ones in which Lula had a higher voting intention: people who only studied up to elementary school, residents of the Northeast, those with an income of up to one minimum wage per month, and Catholics," says Márcia Cavallari, from Ipec.

"The beginning of Lula's government exposes the difficulty of acceptance within the evangelical segment, where he has worse numbers than his overall average. In this group, which corresponds to more than a quarter of the population, 31% rate the PT administration as good or excellent, 32% see it as average, and 32% classify it as bad or terrible," the report also points out.

The Ipec survey conducted in-person interviews with 2 people aged 16 and over in 128 municipalities across the country between March 2 and 6. The maximum estimated margin of error is plus or minus two percentage points, for a 95% confidence level.