Eurasia, the world's leading risk consultancy: Coronavirus could be the cause of impeachment.

247 - Eurasia Group, a leading global risk analysis consultancy, presented a study that puts the chances of Jair Bolsonaro not completing his term at 25% — there are 30 impeachment requests against the president awaiting analysis in the Chamber of Deputies. Weighing the factors that could most damage the Jair Bolsonaro government in the coming months, the consultancy assesses that his handling of the pandemic and a potential collapse of the Brazilian health system could threaten his stability more than the political scandals surrounding his family. Ligia GuimarãesThe BBC, in presenting the report, states that the risk of impeachment is still low, as "parliamentarians show little willingness to initiate an impeachment process amidst the pandemic, a scenario that would only change if Bolsonaro's approval rating fell to levels close to those of other presidents who have already been removed from office." The report says: "Faced with a political scandal, a public health emergency and an economic crisis, Jair Bolsonaro's presidency is in crisis but the chances of impeachment are only 25%."

Although the possibility of impeachment exists, in Eurasia's view, removing Bolsonaro from office would depend on a very substantial drop in the president's popular support base, which, according to the most recent DataFolha poll, has the approval of one-third of Brazilians.