Support is growing for Lula's candidacy for re-election in 2026, says Quaest.

247 - The latest Quaest survey, released this Thursday (17), shows a growing trend in support for President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's (PT) candidacy for re-election in 2026. According to the survey, 38% of voters believe that Lula should seek a new term — an increase of six percentage points compared to the previous survey, conducted between May 29 and June 1, when the rate was 32%. The information is from g1.

At the same time, rejection of the candidacy fell from 66% to 58%. The percentage of those who did not know or preferred not to answer fluctuated from 2% to 4%.

See the full figures:

• Yes, Lula should run for office.38% (it was 32% in June)
  
  
• No, you shouldn't apply.58% (it was 66%)
  
  
• Don't know / No answer4% (it was 2%)

According to data broken down by ideological position, support for Lula's reelection rose mainly among voters who identify as left-wing and center, where the president has his strongest base. Among right-wing voters who do not identify as Bolsonaro supporters, there was also a slight positive fluctuation, within the margin of error.

In addition to voting intentions, Quaest also measured the government's popularity. Approval of Lula's administration rose from 40% to 43%, while disapproval fell from 57% to 53%, reducing the difference between the two indicators from 17 to 10 points. The most significant improvement was recorded among centrist voters.

Support for Bolsonaro's candidacy follows below. The survey also addressed voter perception regarding the potential candidacy of former president Jair Bolsonaro (PL), currently ineligible and about to be convicted of attempted coup d'état. The majority of respondents (62%) believe he should withdraw his candidacy and support another name — a slight decrease compared to the 65% recorded in June.

28% now support Bolsonaro maintaining his candidacy, even if he is ineligible, a number that represents an increase of two percentage points. Those who did not know or did not answer total 10% (up from 9%).

See the numbers:

• He should withdraw and support another candidate.62% (it was 65%)
  
  
• He should maintain his candidacy, even if he is ineligible.28% (it was 26%)
  
  
• Don't know / No answer10% (it was 9%)

Another relevant finding of the research is the perception of fear regarding the country's political future. Respondents were asked what they fear most: Lula's continued presidency or Bolsonaro's return to power. There was a virtual tie between the two options.

• Fear of Bolsonaro returning to the Presidency.44% (it was 45%)
  
  
• Fear of Lula remaining in the Presidency.41% (it was 40%)
  
  
• Fear of both: 7% (same percentage as before)
  
  
• She's not afraid of either of them.3% (no change)
  
  
• Don't know / No answer5% (no change)
  

The survey was conducted between July 10 and 14, with 2.004 face-to-face interviews in 120 municipalities. The margin of error is two percentage points, with a 95% confidence level.