Atlas: 69,6% of Simone Tebet's voters say they will vote for Lula in the second round.
Among Ciro Gomes' (PDT) voters, 51,3% said they will vote for Bolsonaro, compared to 41,6% who said they will vote for Lula.
247 - An Atlas/Intel survey released this Monday (24) on the presidential election shows that former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) continues to absorb most of the voters who voted for Simone Tebet (MDB) in the first round.
According to the survey, among Tebet voters, 69,6% said they will vote for Lula, while 18,2% said they will vote for Jair Bolsonaro (PL). Among Ciro Gomes (PDT) voters, 51,3% said they will vote for Bolsonaro, compared to 41,6% who said they will vote for Lula.
By region, Lula has 66,4% in the Northeast, compared to Bolsonaro's 31,9%. In the Southeast, Bolsonaro has 51,8% and Lula has 46,8%.
Check out other excerpts from the Atlas research:
Read also the Reuters article on the subject:
AtlasIntel shows Lula with 52% against Bolsonaro's 46,2% in voting intentions.
(Reuters)- A poll conducted by the AtlasIntel institute for the second round of the presidential election, released this Monday, shows a positive swing for former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) to 52,0% support compared to 51,1%, against 46,2% for the president and candidate for re-election Jair Bolsonaro (PL), who had 46,5%.
Those undecided and those who said they will cast a blank or null vote represent 1,8%, compared to 2,4% in the previous survey, conducted from October 8 to 12. The new survey, which interviewed 4.500 people online in 1.404 municipalities, was carried out between October 18 and 22 and has a margin of error of 1 percentage point.
In valid votes, which do not include blank, null, or undecided votes, Lula would have 53% against Bolsonaro's 47%, according to the poll. In the previous survey, the score was 52,4% to 47,6% of valid votes. In the first round, Lula finished ahead of Bolsonaro with 48,43% of valid votes, against 43,20%.
"The poll is good news for Lula. Although it doesn't capture the case of Roberto Jefferson, it's safe to say that Bolsonaro's recovery after the first round has stalled," AtlasIntel CEO Andrei Roman told Reuters, mentioning the arrest the previous day of former congressman and Bolsonaro ally Roberto Jefferson, who fired a rifle at federal police officers, injuring two.
According to him, the setback for Bolsonaro in the poll can be attributed to the episode in which the president suggested in interviews that Venezuelan immigrant teenagers were prostitutes -- the president later apologized.
"In our series of high-frequency surveys, it's clear that the episode prevented a growth trajectory (for Bolsonaro)," said Roman, citing the daily surveys, called tracking surveys, that his company conducts for private clients.
After the official results of the first round, polling institutes have been the target of criticism, especially from the current president and his allies, for underestimating the numbers for the candidate seeking re-election in the first round of voting.
AtlasIntel came closer to predicting Bolsonaro's result than other institutes, placing the difference between him and Lula at 9,2 points, while other polls showed a difference of up to 14 points, considering only valid votes. The difference between the two was 5,2 points.
The AtlasIntel survey released this Monday also asked about the evaluation of the Bolsonaro government. 49,4% of respondents rated the administration as bad or terrible, compared to 48,4% in the previous survey, while 33% viewed it as excellent or good, compared to 32,3% before, and 16,8% considered it average, compared to 18,8%.
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