The fatal dilemmas of the Brazilian right.

The Brazilian right wing today is pro-Bolsonaro. It refuses to give up its support for its leader, even knowing that his high rejection rate likely condemns it to another defeat.

Of course, it feeds on bogus polls that project a close race between Lula and Bolsonaro's son. But it's known that these data don't reflect reality. So much so that the same polls show Lula would defeat all his potential opponents, in either the first or second round.

But there is no non-Bolsonaro right wing, the dream of big business, which believed that Tarcísio could be that candidate, even if he repeatedly reaffirms his loyalty to Bolsonaro.

Suddenly, names emerge that seek to appear as non-Bolsonaro right-wing, but they are facing the support that, for better or worse, Bolsonaro's son has in the polls. It is unclear whether they are trying to promote their candidacies now or only for 2030, when they believe that, without Lula, they might have a better chance.

Some even claim they wouldn't attack Lula, in an attempt to create space beyond the Lula-Bolsonaro polarization. It remains unclear whether they will manage to carve out their own space or if they will disappear in the face of stronger polarization.

A strange right wing, clinging to a leader who has been judged, convicted, and imprisoned. But that is their dilemma: to gather the remaining votes Bolsonaro has, but likely be condemned to defeat; or to renounce him, but have candidates with ineffective results in the polls.

This is the dilemma facing the Brazilian right. To support Bolsonaro or not? To renounce their leader and their massive voter base, risking defeat again, or to try to project new names and create a space beyond the existing polarization.

In the event of Lula's reelection, several names are vying for the 2030 elections, including several governors. Those from São Paulo, Rio Grande do Sul, Rio de Janeiro, Paraná, among others.

But they may have to face the possibility that Lula manages to elect his successor — this time, Fernando Haddad — as he had already done with Dilma.

A difficult dilemma for the Brazilian right, which will still have to confront its lack of a plan for the country. In the debates of this presidential election, will they defend the legacy of the Bolsonaro government? What legacy? Is it worthwhile to defend a failed government?

They will have to face an experienced Lula, who can showcase the achievements of the PT governments and, especially, this government, which has been successful. How will the opposing candidate behave? Will he try to deny an undeniable reality? Or what will he do? With the risk that the debates during the election broadcast time could facilitate Lula's victory in the first round.