In a country in ruins, Lula begins building the future.

The first survey after his inauguration, the Genial/Quaest opinion poll on Lula did not bring any major surprises but painted a realistic picture of the expectations of Brazilian men and women for the next four years. 

Elected with 46,3% of the vote in the first round and 50,9% in the second, before completing 30 days in office Lula is supported by 40%, compared to 20% for Bolsonaro. 

It's worth remembering that, in relative terms, this is a much more comfortable result than the second round of the 2022 presidential campaign, which Lula won by a margin of just over 1% -- 50,9% against 49,1% of the valid votes. (In the first round, he received 48,3% of the votes against 43,2% for his opponent, who gained five points between the two rounds). 

By gathering, in the February 2023 poll, an approval rating that is double that of Bolsonaro, Lula reaps the benefits of a successful campaign, enjoying the hopeful legitimacy that the population reserves for the victors. 

Only partially, however, do these numbers reflect a new political reality, created by the emergence of a far-right opposition – a phenomenon that, as we all know, is far from being unique to Brazil. 

A week after being sworn in, Lula had to confront and defeat a coup d'état that was being prepared in the shadows of the government he was to succeed.

Even after losing the national election, Bolsonaro's movement will control significant portions of Congress, where it will attempt to build a barrier to resist the initiatives of Lula's government. 

To begin with, until 2024, it will rely on the services of the president of the Central Bank, who has the power to set the interest rate and thus, the temperature of the vital organs of the economy. 

In the states, the crop of governors close to Bolsonaro who emerged victorious in 2023 involves a formidable level of political machine power. We are talking about São Paulo, Minas Gerais, Goiás, the Federal District, Paraná, Santa Catarina, and Rio de Janeiro. In the 2022 elections, the memory of the candidate—and of the PT governments—represented an indispensable help in securing a victory by a margin of 1,8%.

In 2023, it will be necessary to formulate proposals and coordinate political forces to rebuild the country, starting with the economy, which is drowning in Bolsonaro's destructive stagnation.

 Between 2023 and 2026, in his third term, the fifth for the Workers' Party, Lula will have no alternative but to get it right, get it right, and get it right again. 

Any questions?