New Latin American reality: Chavismo has dethroned the national bourgeoisie and is negotiating direct oil deals with imperialism.

Behind the violent overthrow of President Nicolás Maduro by his imperialist counterpart Donald Trump lies a new historical phenomenon unfolding in Latin America: the United States is willing to negotiate with the Chavista popular power, while abandoning the Venezuelan national bourgeoisie due to a lack of popular representation; the pragmatism of American Trumpist realpolitik has understood that the Chavista Bolivarian Revolution is an unavoidable reality because it is anchored in civic-military power, as conceived by Hugo Chávez from 1999-2013, followed by Maduro between 2013 and 2025; Maduro is imprisoned in the United States, but Trump cannot remove Chavista power, which is why he decided to pragmatically pursue negotiations with the constitutionally established Bolivarian Chavismo.

The Bolivarian revolutionary institutional framework – Executive, Legislative, and Judicial branches – the basis for what Hugo Chávez called 21st-Century Socialism, anchored in the PSUV – United Socialist Party of Venezuela – has its sovereign representation in Vice President Delcy Rodríguez, widely supported by the National Assembly, presided over by Jorge Rodríguez, and by a Judiciary that backed Nicolás Maduro's electoral victory in 2024.

Trump abandoned the narrative of considering Chavismo a revolutionary dictatorship in order to accept it as a legitimate power in the new negotiations with the United States, because he lacks the internal political strength to invade the country; if he tried to do so, he would transform Venezuela into a revolutionary conflagration that would spread throughout Latin America; Washington would reap, as a result, defeat, as happened with the American adventure in Vietnam, with an even greater additional loss: the loss of access to oil for a revolutionary power possibly dominated by radical leaders, as happened with the Cuban revolution, led by Fidel Castro.

Therefore, the historical triumph of Chavismo lies in combining civic-popular power, organized by a revolutionary party (PSUV), with the immeasurable oil wealth that the empire cannot relinquish.

 ADVANCE OF THE LATIN AMERICAN REVOLUTION

 

Bolivarian Chavismo, therefore, as can be seen in the unfolding of the Venezuelan crisis after the violent overthrow of Nicolás Maduro – whose future is still uncertain, because Trump has already backed down from the false accusations without proof that he formulated to arrest and try him in the United States – is laying the foundations for a new historical movement in Latin America; the empire, by opting for negotiation and not confrontation with the Chavista revolutionary political movement, in order to continue the agreements surrounding oil, buries the aspirations of the Venezuelan national bourgeoisie to return to power.

Trump vetoed Corina Machado and Gonzales from occupying the Miraflores Palace because he saw that both lacked political legitimacy, something achieved democratically by the Chavistas through the successive elections held after Chavismo came to power in 1999; since then, the civic-military power has been consolidated, anchored in oil wealth, a fact evidenced by Venezuela's economic recovery despite all American economic sanctions; in 2025, according to ECLAC, the Venezuelan economy will be the fastest growing (+9%) in Latin America; this fact signals a promising future for Chavismo if the Bolivarian Chavista civic-military power, the gravedigger of the Venezuelan national bourgeoisie, is increasingly consolidated; Chavismo, therefore, continues without Maduro, with a revolutionary institutional framework that is consolidated with the increase in popular power, anchored in the Armed Forces; Currently in Caracas, public security is in the hands of the more than 4 million armed Chavista militias under the command of the Delcy government; it is this popular force that Trump does not dare to confront, attempting to territorially occupy Venezuela after overthrowing Maduro.

 Popular Power, New Political Game

 The new historical fact in Latin America, therefore, is that the Bolivarian Chavista revolution made the American Trumpist empire realize what it was doing; it is no longer profitable for the United States to support corrupt national bourgeoisies – such as the Venezuelan one, expressed by Corina Machado and company – if it faces revolutionary popular resistance like Chavismo; it is better to negotiate, since the United States is dependent on fundamental raw materials in the continent, such as oil, rare earths, special minerals like lithium, niobium, copper, water, solar energy, infinite biodiversity, etc., indispensable to American industrial manufacturing, which is losing competitiveness to China.

The fundamental monetary backing available in Latin America, without which the US dollar weakens, is the power of strategic raw materials; if these are seized, as in Venezuela, by revolutionary popular power (PSUV), it is better for the empire to negotiate than to risk losing in the heat of popular revolutions; the dollar would plummet and speculative stock market volatility would rapidly destroy the capitalist wealth accumulated in the United States, accelerating imperialist collapse; popular mobilization, therefore, is the new name of the political game to confront the empire; Venezuelans, anchored in civic-popular power, give a historical lesson to South America on how to strengthen itself politically to be an alternative for negotiation with the empire, in place of the bourgeoisie, which is losing political representation in the eyes of Trumpist imperialism itself.

 Lesson for Brazil

 The new political landscape opened up by the American invasion of Venezuela and the new geopolitical corollary that emerges from popular mobilization around the defense of national sovereignty – a revolutionary slogan for social mobilization – is the fundamental lesson for the Brazilian government to advance in the economic liberation expressed in the neoliberal model that prevents the country from growing sustainably.

To reach his fourth term, President Lula, an undisputed popular leader who rose to power thanks to the mobilization of the working class in the 1980s to defeat the dictatorship financed by American imperialism, faces a historic opportunity: to mobilize the masses to support Brazilian industrialization, which will only happen with the effective realization of national sovereignty; the threat to sovereignty, brought to light by the American invasion, is a message to progressive governments, like Lula's, to rally popular political forces; there is no more time to lose; it has been proven, with the violent invasion of Venezuela by the United States, that the Latin American destiny is one: continental union to defend shared national unity; this fundamental need is demonstrated by Venezuela with Bolivarian Chavismo, confronting the American empire with the force of popular mobilization against the greatest military power on the planet; American military power is anchored in the waters of the Pacific and the Caribbean, making threats and spreading fear, but at the same time, it fears invading Venezuelan territory in the face of a people mobilized by revolutionary Chavismo.

 The Strength of National Political Consciousness

The Venezuelan people, organized around a revolutionary party, discover their own strength in the act of mobilizing in defense of sovereignty; this is the recipe of Latin American nationalist resistance that makes Donald Trump back down, because he knows he does not have sufficient military force to occupy the territory; if he attempts this feat, a bloody colonial war would emerge, and American soldiers, if they invaded Venezuela, whose geography they do not know, would suffer casualties; Trump's prestige in the United States would collapse, leading to electoral defeat and presidential impeachment; the shift to the left, therefore, driven by the discourse of sovereignty, is the political salvation of the Workers' Party government; it would be the weapon to defeat the reactionary national bourgeoisie of the right and far right, leading Trump to the same political pragmatism that leads him to choose to negotiate with Chavismo and not with the corrupt bourgeoisie, whose project is denationalization, savage capitalist overaccumulation, and social inequality.