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Daniel Samam

Daniel Samam is a musician, educator, and editor of the Blog de Canhota. He is the coordinator of the Celso Furtado Nucleus (PT-RJ), a member of the Casa Grande Institute (ICG), and a member of the National Culture Collective of the Workers' Party (PT).

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Lula's growth shows the success of the PT's electoral strategy.

"Lula's growth in the polls reveals the success of the PT's strategy in insisting on his candidacy, and that the political-judicial battle surrounding the challenge to his registration at the TSE should maintain this upward trajectory in voting intentions," says columnist Daniel Samam; "Lula's electoral strength and his ability to transfer votes are undeniable. However, some are concerned that Haddad hasn't scored higher in the Ibope and Datafolha polls. The fact is, he hasn't yet been definitively and properly 'anointed' by Lula."

Lula's growth shows the success of the PT's electoral strategy.

The CNT/MDA and Ibope polls showed similar numbers: Lula with 37%, Bolsonaro with 18%, Marina with 6%, Ciro and Alckmin with 5% each. The difference is that Ibope surveyed the scenario without Lula. In that case, Bolsonaro has 20%, Marina rises to 12%, Ciro to 9%, Alckmin remains at 7%, and Fernando Haddad reaches 4%.

The Workers' Party (PT) is the preferred party of 29% of those interviewed, according to an Ibope poll. This figure surpasses the 27% achieved by the combined total of the other 34 parties registered with the TSE (Superior Electoral Court).

The research also revealed some messages from voters to the candidates, consolidating the conservative profile on social issues and progressive stance on economics among the Brazilian electorate. For example, 62,8% of those interviewed said they would not vote for a candidate in favor of decriminalizing abortion. Regarding the legalization of gun ownership, 50,1% stated they would not vote for a candidate who defends such a proposal. The privatization discourse in the economy has no place: 38,8% would not vote for someone who advocates privatizations. However, regarding the reduction of privileges for public servants and politicians, there is support from 61% of voters.

The Datafolha survey conducted between August 20 and 21 and published today (22) further widens Lula's lead, even though he is unjustly and illegally imprisoned as a political prisoner to prevent him from running in the elections, contrary to international agreements. Lula appears with 39% of voting intentions and Jair Bolsonaro with 19%. Haddad registers low rejection, at 21%, and 31% of voters would vote for a candidate endorsed by Lula.

Lula's rise in the polls reveals the success of the PT's strategy in insisting on his candidacy, and that the political-judicial battle surrounding the challenge to his registration at the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) should maintain this upward trajectory in voting intentions. Lula's electoral strength and his ability to transfer votes are undeniable. However, some are concerned that Haddad has not scored higher in the Ibope and Datafolha polls. The fact is, he has not yet been definitively and properly "anointed" by Lula.

We must be clear that the reason for Haddad's candidacy is to represent Lula, and that the 40 days of campaigning until the elections must be dedicated to telling the Brazilian people that Lula is the candidate and that Haddad is there to be Lula, at Lula's request, until Lula is free.

* This is an opinion article, the responsibility of the author, and does not reflect the opinion of Brasil 247.