Linking Lula to Maduro and calling for American electoral interference could be counterproductive for the opposition.
The opposition is shifting the debate from the realm of management and economics to the terrain of sovereignty.
Leopoldo Vieira
Professional journalist, postgraduate in Public Administration and Political Science. CEO of Idealpolitik. Worked as a senior political analyst at Faria Lima (TradersClub) and in the Ministries of Planning, Government Secretariat, and Institutional Relations during the Dilma Rousseff and Lula administrations.
199 Articles
Trump tests a new Cold War and suggests an opportunity for Lula.
'Lula can play a relevant role in mediating global peace, regional stability, and the reorganization of the international system.'
Lula rejects "deal" with the establishment, turns to the offensive in 2026.
Lula ends the year on a turning point, on the political offensive, and with the increasingly plausible prospect of an unprecedented fourth presidential term.
With higher rejection rates, Flávio blocks the rise of the center, suggests Quaest.
Research indicates that Flávio is blocking the rise of a centrist candidate to the second round, negating the potential of Tarcísio and Ratinho's (not so) low rejection rates.
Suspension of sanctions against Moraes is a victory for Lula, but opens a window for Bolsonaro's house arrest.
"For Moraes, the suspension of the sanctions represented a victory for the Judiciary, national sovereignty, and democracy, with thanks to President Lula."
Both Tarcísio and Michelle are competitive against Lula, suggests AtlasIntel.
Unless the Bolsonaro clan openly opposes Tarcísio, the numbers indicate greater comfort for the Centrão (center-right bloc) in launching him without waiting for the family's decision.
Democratic Pact: Dispute between PT and Centrão could be reopened after Bolsonaro and military officers begin serving their sentences.
While the risk of another authoritarian drift may have been overcome in the short and medium term, the remaining provisions of the Constitution remain unresolved.
Tarcísio's comfortable position and the uncomfortable situation of the center-right.
Time is working in the president's favor, while Tarcísio needs to unify a faction that only moves through coercion and firm leadership.
Security: Motta and Tarcísio are the losers of the week; Deritis is the cause.
Derrite achieved the improbable: inflicting a setback on the center and right-wing political landscape "at home," providing a significant political victory for the Lula government.
Lula closes another victorious week.
Lula expands political victories and consolidates leadership amid internal and external challenges.
Local focus of research on the operation in Rio de Janeiro limits assessment; impact on Lula is uncertain.
According to Leopoldo Vieira, local polls regarding the police operation in Rio indicate partial support, but the national impact on Lula and the government remains uncertain.
Motta aligns himself with Lula on public security.
'The anti-factional project will need to include the debate on national sovereignty, and neutralize the opposition's attempt to draw the attention of the US.'